Trading floor of the New York Stock Exchange in New York City. Justin Guariglia/xPACIFICA/Redux
While the crypto market might have felt like it didn’t make any progress in the whole of 2019, the stats say otherwise. In this small research we analyzed the yearly USD volume for 2017, 2018, and 2019 of the top 10 cryptocurrencies by market cap – BTC, ETH, XRP, BCH, BSV, Tether, LTC, EOS, BNB, and Monero. Here’s what we discovered.
The data we used for this research was provided by CoinMarketCap. First we took the raw USD daily trading volumes and combined them to produce the yearly volumes for each of the 10 assets for 2017, 2018, and 2019:
Taking the above chart into account, we created another one, which shows how these yearly volumes grew compared to the previous year:
Though prices for some assets like Ethereum didn’t grow much in 2019, it is the overall yearly volumes that exploded, with the top 10 crypto assets reaching a total of $17.948 trillion in volume compared to $5.172 trillion in 2018 and $1.677 trillion in 2017:
This represents, respectively, a 208% volume increase in 2018 and a 247% volume increase in 2019.
Compared to the New York Stock Exchange’s hundreds of billions traded every day, the crypto market’s total for 2019 might seem like a joke. However, in order to get to the level of the NYSE and other large stock exchanges, the crypto market will necessarily have to go through this transitional phase.
Fake volume is certainly a concern as reports have appeared of various exchanges doing wash trading to better market their services to crypto projects, tricking them into paying obscene listing fees for what effectively ends up being a week-long marketing campaign.
Nevertheless, the growth of the crypto market volume cannot be attributed only to the increase in fake volume as a result of the popularity of the crypto exchange business model. With mainstream media now covering crypto news regularly, and with the relative ease with which new investors can enter the crypto market, it is no wonder that volume has increased so much over the course of 2019.
In short, this data shows us that the crypto market has matured a lot in 2018 and 2019, slowly but surely recovering from the bubble burst in the beginning of 2018.
If the trend from 2018 and 2019 holds, we might see close to 300% increase in trading volume in 2020 – around $70 trillion. Trading volume does not correlate with market cap so we cannot make any predictions there, sadly.
But back to our trading volume predictions, to be more specific:
Of course, it is highly unlikely that these numbers will be accurate as we are basing them off of the trading volume growth pattern of these assets over the past couple of years. Who knows what will happen in 2020 and how that will influence the crypto market.
Governments and central banks keep on cracking down on crypto assets with more intense regulations, and the whole Middle East crisis combined with the uncertainty of the US-China trade war, makes for an impossible-to-predict situation.
Nevertheless, the data from 2019 would strongly suggest that the crypto market is progressing towards a better future.
The crypto market went through swift ups and downs in 2018 and 2019, but mostly swung left and right. However, the pattern of trading volume growth is clear.
With close to $18 trillion in trading volume generated only by the top 10 cryptocurrencies, it is obvious that the digital assets market has reached a new level of maturity over the course of 2019. One could only hope that 2020 will be even better.